Conference outlook
Season
2026–27
Conference tournament favorites
Top two estimated chances to win the tournament, not necessarily the projected finalists.
Projected conference standings
Expected wins include completed results and the remaining saved conference schedule.
| Seed | Team | Conf. record | Projected W–L | Portal arrivals | Player inputs | Title chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Florida | 0–0 | 14.0–4.0 | 1 | 100% matched | 39.7% |
| 2 |  Arkansas | 0–0 | 11.8–6.2 | 2 | 100% matched | 16.2% |
| 3 |  Vanderbilt | 0–0 | 11.6–6.4 | 5 | 100% matched | 13.2% |
| 4 |  Alabama | 0–0 | 10.3–7.7 | 3 | 100% matched | 6.4% |
| 5 |  Texas | 0–0 | 10.3–7.7 | 5 | 100% matched | 6.1% |
| 6 |  Auburn | 0–0 | 9.6–8.4 | 5 | 100% matched | 3.9% |
| 7 |  Tennessee | 0–0 | 9.6–8.4 | 9 | 100% matched | 4.1% |
| 8 |  Kentucky | 0–0 | 9.3–8.7 | 6 | 100% matched | 2.8% |
| 9 |  Missouri | 0–0 | 9.1–8.9 | 6 | 100% matched | 2.5% |
| 10 |  LSU | 0–0 | 8.5–9.5 | 5 | 100% matched | 2.3% |
| 11 |  Texas A&M | 0–0 | 8.4–9.6 | 6 | 100% matched | 1.5% |
| 12 |  Georgia | 0–0 | 7.7–10.3 | 2 | 100% matched | 0.5% |
| 13 |  Ole Miss | 0–0 | 7.1–10.9 | 8 | 100% matched | 0.6% |
| 14 |  Mississippi State | 0–0 | 5.8–12.2 | 6 | 100% matched | 0.1% |
| 15 |  South Carolina | 0–0 | 5.8–12.2 | 5 | 100% matched | <0.1% |
| 16 |  Oklahoma | 0–0 | 5.2–12.8 | 6 | 100% matched | <0.1% |
Seeds are projected, not official. Portal arrivals count matched, committed transfers on the latest saved roster; unmatched players use estimates or a team-only fallback.
Projected championship bracket
One projected bracket using the expected standings and favored team in each game.
2027 tournament format; bracket subject to conference confirmation. Actual seeding and tiebreakers may differ.
Second round
Quarterfinals
Vanderbilt59%Auburn41%Team efficiency is adjusted for the latest saved current-season roster and matched transfer arrivals when player coverage is sufficient. Prior-season efficiency is used until current ratings are available. The roster adjustment compares estimated player production against the team baseline; injuries and individual defensive effects are not modeled.
Tournament chances use 3,000 simulated seasons, an approximate win-probability curve and simplified tiebreakers. Higher seeds host where tournament rules specify campus games; other games are treated as neutral. They are experimental, do not use sportsbook odds, and are not a proven betting edge. Tournament results already played are not incorporated.
144 saved conference games · Calculated 11/7/2026, 3:27:37 PM ET.